October 2025 Market Update

November 6, 2025
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October 2025 Market Update

#MarketSnapshot

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) real estate market continued to show signs of change in October 2025, with home sales slowing and new listings on the rise. For buyers, this evolving landscape is creating more opportunities and greater negotiating power, especially as mortgage rates ease and average home prices decline.

Sales Down, Listings Up

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), GTA REALTORS® reported 6,138 home sales in October 2025, representing a 9.5% decrease compared to October 2024. Meanwhile, new listings rose by 2.7% year-over-year, with 16,069 homes entering the market.

This combination of slower sales and increased inventory has resulted in more balanced conditions — and in some segments, a clear advantage for homebuyers.

Prices Adjust and Affordability Improves

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark was down 5% year-over-year, while the average selling price fell 7.2% to $1,054,372. On a month-over-month basis, prices remained mostly stable, though still slightly lower than in September.

These shifts are creating more affordable housing conditions compared to recent years. As TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule explained:

“Buyers who are confident in their employment situation and ability to make their mortgage payments over the long term are benefitting from affordable housing market conditions relative to the past few years. However, many intending homebuyers remain on the sidelines due to uncertainty about their economic future.”

Lower Borrowing Costs Boost Buyer Confidence

With mortgage rates trending downward, the monthly payment for an average-priced GTA home is also declining. TRREB Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer noted that this trend is making homeownership more attainable:

“The monthly mortgage payment for an average-priced GTA home continued to trend lower in October, benefitting from both lower borrowing costs and lower selling prices. This means more buyers can now afford to purchase a home that meets their housing needs.”

Mercer also added that greater economic certainty, particularly around international trade, could spark renewed buyer activity in the coming months.

Looking Ahead: Building Confidence and Supply

Beyond short-term market shifts, TRREB CEO John DiMichele emphasized the importance of long-term housing solutions and policy reform to meet Ontario’s growing population needs:

“Housing is essential economic infrastructure. As the population continues to grow, innovation and private capital are required to accelerate new construction across all housing types. Governments can help by modernizing tax rules, cutting buyer costs, and ending exclusionary zoning. Working together, we can rebuild confidence, create jobs, and deliver the homes Ontarians need. We have to act now.”

In Summary

The October 2025 market numbers paint a clear picture: buyers currently have more leverage than in recent years, while sellers face a more competitive landscape. With prices stabilizing and interest rates softening, the months ahead may offer renewed opportunities for confident buyers to make their move — and for policymakers and developers to help shape the future of housing in the GTA.

Need help navigating this changing market?

Our experienced team is here to guide you, whether you’re planning to buy your first home, upgrade, or list your property. Let’s talk strategy and make your move with confidence.

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